How large a bankroll do you need to outlast any bad run of cards and ensure that you’ll never go broke? This question comes up repeatedly whenever poker players start talking.
While “How big a bankroll . . .” is a complex issue that can’t be resolved by applying a rule or formula, there is one fact you can bank on with absolute certainty: If you are not a winning player, your bankroll will never be large enough. To eliminate the possibilities of ever going broke, losing players need a big enough bankroll to outlast their life expectancy. Without one, they’ll find themselves regularly infusing their playing stake with fresh cash.
A good rule for a reliable bankroll is 300 bets. If a bankroll of $6,000 to play $10-$20 Hold’em seems like a shockingly high number, we recommend reading Gambling Theory and other Topics by Mason Malmuth. It’s an amazingly insightful work into some of the statistical realities that surround poker.
You’ll find out how the ups and downs of fate can produce some extreme results over the short run, and even $6,000 may be a conservative estimate for that game.
But 300 big bets is not the whole story. If you were an outstanding player in a regular game composed of absolutely horrendous, extremely passive players (who seldom raised but always called until all hope, no matter how small, was completely dissipated), we’re certain you could play on a much smaller bankroll without the risk of going broke. But few among us have been lucky enough to find a regular game filled with players who are that bad.
Even when you’re a favorite in your game, you’re probably not a prohibitive one. Here are some tips:
- If your opponents are generally good players, you probably need more than 300 big bets to hedge against going broke
- But for the average working professional player — the guy who plays every day trying to win between one and one-and-a-half big bets per hour — the conventional wisdom of a 300 big-bet bankroll makes good sense.
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